Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Following the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Importance: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) health care provision may be a good indicator of the recovery of the health care system involved in OHCA care following the COVID-19 pandemic. There is a lack of data regarding outcomes capable of verifying this recovery. Objective: To determine whether return to spontaneous circulation, overall survival, and survival with good neurological outcome increased in patients with OHCA since the COVID-19 pandemic was brought under control in 2022 compared with prepandemic and pandemic levels. Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational cohort study was conducted to examine health care response and survival with good neurological outcome at hospital discharge in patients treated following OHCA. A 3-month period, including the first wave of the pandemic (February 1 to April 30, 2020), was compared with 2 periods before (April 1, 2017, to March 31, 2018) and after (January 1 to December 31, 2022) the pandemic. Data analysis was performed in July 2023. Emergency medical services (EMS) serving a population of more than 28 million inhabitants across 10 Spanish regions participated. Patients with OHCA were included if participating EMS initiated resuscitation or continued resuscitation initiated by a first responder. Exposure: The pandemic was considered to be under control following the official declaration that infection with SARS-CoV-2 was to be considered another acute respiratory infection. Main Outcome and Measures: The main outcomes were return of spontaneous circulation, overall survival, and survival at hospital discharge with good neurological outcome, expressed as unimpaired or minimally impaired cerebral performance. Results: A total of 14 732 patients (mean [SD] age, 64.2 [17.2] years; 10 451 [71.2%] male) were included, with 6372 OHCAs occurring during the prepandemic period, 1409 OHCAs during the pandemic period, and 6951 OHCAs during the postpandemic period. There was a higher incidence of OHCAs with a resuscitation attempt in the postpandemic period compared with the pandemic period (rate ratio, 4.93; 95% CI, 4.66-5.22; P < .001), with lower incidence of futile resuscitation for OHCAs (2.1 per 100 000 person-years vs 1.3 per 100 000 person-years; rate ratio, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.71-0.92; P < .001). Recovery of spontaneous circulation at hospital admission increased from 20.5% in the pandemic period to 30.5% in the postpandemic period (relative risk [RR], 1.08; 95% CI, 1.06-1.10; P < .001). In the same way, overall survival at discharge increased from 7.6% to 11.2% (RR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.21-1.75; P < .001), with 6.6% of patients being discharged with good neurological status (Cerebral Performance Category Scale categories 1-2) in the pandemic period compared with 9.6% of patients in the postpandemic period (RR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.04-1.10; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, survival with good neurological outcome at hospital discharge following OHCA increased significantly after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Modelo de riesgo de mortalidad en pacientes con sospecha de enfermedad por COVID-19 basado en información del centro coordinador de urgencias / Mortality risk model for patients with suspected COVID-19 based on information available from an emergency dispatch center

Objetivo: Derivar y validar una escala basada en variables recogidas durante la llamada a un centro coordinador de urgencias (CCU) que permita estratificar el riesgo de mortalidad a 2 días en pacientes con sospecha de enfermedad por COVID-19. Método: Estudio multicéntrico retrospectivo que incluyó a los pacientes consecutivos $ 18 años durante 3 meses, catalogados como caso sospechoso de COVID-19 después de la entrevista telefónica del CCU y que precisaron evacuación. Se analizaron variables clínico-epidemiológicas, comorbilidades y resultado de muerte a los 2 días. Se derivó una escala con las variables categóricas asociadas de forma independiente con la mortalidad a 2 días mediante regresión logística, en la cohorte de derivación. La escala se validó mediante una cohorte de validación y otra de revalidación obtenida en una provincia distinta.Resultados. Se incluyeron 2.320 pacientes (edad mediana 79 años, 49,8% mujeres). La mortalidad global fue del 22,6% (376 casos en pacientes con SARS-CoV-2). El modelo incluyó edad, localización (zona rural como variable protectora), institucionalización, desaturación, roncus, taquipnea y alteración del nivel de conciencia. El área bajo la curva (ABC) para la mortalidad a 2 días fue de 0,763 (IC 95%: 0,725-0,802; p < 0,001). La mortalidad en los pacientes de alto riesgo (> 2,4 puntos) fue del 60%. Conclusiones: La escala, derivada a través de información obtenida con datos del CCU, es aplicable a pacientes con sospecha de infección por COVID-19, estratifica el riesgo de mortalidad precoz (menos de 2 días) y puede ser una herramienta que ayude en la toma de decisiones, referidas a su evacuación, destino o vector de transporte. (AU)

Objectives: To develop and validate a scale to stratify risk of 2-day mortality based on data collected during calls to an emergency dispatch center from patients with suspected coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Material and methods: Retrospective multicenter study of consecutive patients over the age of 18 years with suspected COVID-19 who were transported from home over the course of 3 months after telephone interviews with dispatchers. We analyzed clinical and epidemiologic variables and comorbidities in relation to death within 2 days of the call. Using data from the development cohort, we built a risk model by means of logistic regression analysis of categorical variables that were independently associated with 2-day mortality. The scale was validated first in a validation cohort in the same province and then in a cohort in a different province. Results: A total of 2320 patients were included. The mean age was 79 years, and 49.8% were women. The overall 2-day mortality rate was 22.6% (376 deaths of patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection). The model included the following factors: age, location (rural location as a protective factor), institutionalization, desaturation, lung sounds (rhonchi), and altered mental status. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for death within 2 days was 0.763 (95% CI, 0.725-0.802; P .001). Mortality in patients at high risk (more than 2.4 points on the scale) was 60%. Conclusion: This risk scale derived from information available to an emergency dispatch center is applicable to patients with suspected COVID-19. It can stratify patients by risk of early death (within 2 days), possibly helping with decision making regarding whether to transport from home or what means of transport to use, and destination. (AU)

Mortality risk model for patients with suspected COVID-19 based on information available from an emergency dispatch center. / Modelo de riesgo de mortalidad en pacientes con sospecha de enfermedad por COVID-19 basado en información del centro coordinador de urgencias.

OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a scale to stratify risk of 2-day mortality based on data collected during calls to an emergency dispatch center from patients with suspected coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective multicenter study of consecutive patients over the age of 18 years with suspected COVID-19 who were transported from home over the course of 3 months after telephone interviews with dispatchers. We analyzed clinical and epidemiologic variables and comorbidities in relation to death within 2 days of the call. Using data from the development cohort, we built a risk model by means of logistic regression analysis of categorical variables that were independently associated with 2-day mortality. The scale was validated first in a validation cohort in the same province and then in a cohort in a different province. RESULTS: A total of 2320 patients were included. The mean age was 79 years, and 49.8% were women. The overall 2-day mortality rate was 22.6% (376 deaths of patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection). The model included the following factors: age, location (rural location as a protective factor), institutionalization, desaturation, lung sounds (rhonchi), and altered mental status. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for death within 2 days was 0.763 (95% CI, 0.725-0.802; P .001). Mortality in patients at high risk (more than 2.4 points on the scale) was 60%. CONCLUSION: This risk scale derived from information available to an emergency dispatch center is applicable to patients with suspected COVID-19. It can stratify patients by risk of early death (within 2 days), possibly helping with decision making regarding whether to transport from home or what means of transport to use, and destination.

OBJETIVO: Derivar y validar una escala basada en variables recogidas durante la llamada a un centro coordinador de urgencias (CCU) que permita estratificar el riesgo de mortalidad a 2 días en pacientes con sospecha de enfermedad por COVID-19. METODO: Estudio multicéntrico retrospectivo que incluyó a los pacientes consecutivos 18 años durante 3 meses, catalogados como caso sospechoso de COVID-19 después de la entrevista telefónica del CCU y que precisaron evacuación. Se analizaron variables clínico-epidemiológicas, comorbilidades y resultado de muerte a los 2 días. Se derivó una escala con las variables categóricas asociadas de forma independiente con la mortalidad a 2 días mediante regresión logística, en la cohorte de derivación. La escala se validó mediante una cohorte de validación y otra de revalidación obtenida en una provincia distinta. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 2.320 pacientes (edad mediana 79 años, 49,8% mujeres). La mortalidad global fue del 22,6% (376 casos en pacientes con SARS-CoV-2). El modelo incluyó edad, localización (zona rural como variable protectora), institucionalización, desaturación, roncus, taquipnea y alteración del nivel de conciencia. El área bajo la curva (ABC) para la mortalidad a 2 días fue de 0,763 (IC 95%: 0,725-0,802; p 0,001). La mortalidad en los pacientes de alto riesgo (> 2,4 puntos) fue del 60%. CONCLUSIONES: La escala, derivada a través de información obtenida con datos del CCU, es aplicable a pacientes con sospecha de infección por COVID-19, estratifica el riesgo de mortalidad precoz (menos de 2 días) y puede ser una herramienta que ayude en la toma de decisiones, referidas a su evacuación, destino o vector de transporte.